Menu
Paynal © 2008
an Trump Survive Ending Project Syria? by Tom Luongo
(2019-10-21 at 14:45:27 )
Can Trump Survive Ending Project Syria? by Tom Luongo
From the moment that Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Davos) announced reluctantly that impeachment proceedings would begin against President Trump I knew this was about his shift in Middle East policy.
It happened on Terrible Tuesday where both Donald Trump and United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson were handed smackdowns by their respective Deep States over their plans to unwind multiple decades of aggressive foreign policy on the one hand and subjugation to the growing European Union on the other.
Now that President Trump has fully embraced ending some of the United States involvement in Syria the knives have come out in full.
There have been nothing but howls of pain from every corner of neoconservatism and liberal interventionism on both sides of the domestic political aisle, about how President Trump is unfit for office because he abandoned the heroic Kurds to genocide by the Turks after fighting for freedom against the brutal Bashar al-Assad.
Even the impressive Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) promoted this narrative at the recent Democratic debate.
This narrative is so wrong on so many levels that it amazes me anyone still promulgating it can do so without their brain seizing up from the cognitive dissonance.
The Kurds were mercenaries in a cynical multi-country operation to atomize Syria into a failed state, a la the Libya model which John Bolton threatened North Korea with (and led to the public reason for his firing). This atomization would have seen Turkey take Idlib and the north eastern Arab lands its moving into now, the Kurds get a country comprised of Southeastern Syria and Northern Iraq with the eventual annexation of Kurdish territory in Iran.
This operation was paid for by the United States, Saudi Arabia, Israel, the United Kingdom as well as sanctioned by EU leadership in Paris and Berlin.
Russias intervention put the kibosh on all of it and the alliance formed in Syrias defense between it, China, Hezbollah and Iran not only won back most of the country over the past four years but also defeated the Iraqi Kurds at Erbil after a failed rebellion by Mamoud Barzani and his Peshmerga forces.
Once Aleppo was retaken, Raqqa demolished, and the Peshmerga defeated the Kurds fate was sealed. The past two and a half years have been nothing more than delaying actions against the day that President Trump finally gained control over the White House insurrections amongst his staff and ordered the operation ended.
President Trump ordering United States troops out of the region put the Kurds on notice that they either make a deal with Russia and the Syrian government or get slaughtered by the Turks.
That took all of a day.
It also, as the great Pat Buchanan points out in his latest article, put the Saudis on notice that they no longer set United States foreign policy objectives because they sell their oil in dollars and splash some money around D.C. and the media.
Their bloodthirst for war with Iran can be done on their dime or not at all.
The most shocking part in all of this is President Trump just made the same statement to, of all people, Israel.
And that is where the highest concentration of anguish is coming from in the media and elsewhere.
Finally, a Republican president had the stones to call AIPACs bluff and stop kowtowing to them over their highly sought-after election funds. President Trump does not need AIPACs money anymore. He raised $125 million in Q3 and with these moves will likely raise more in Q4.
His firing John Bolton was the clue you needed that AIPAC and Sheldon Adelson were no longer important voices in President Trumps White House. He does not need favorable media coverage from a media dominated by Saudi and Israeli money.
It is not like he has gotten good press from them on any consistent basis since 2015. He only gets that when he is willing to bomb people in the name of their agendas and call it "freedom."
But at the same time, he made powerful enemies doing so.
This was finally the right move made by a United States president standing firm in front of oppressive political and media opposition. President Trump is showing a strength we have not seen since Ronald Reagan pulled troops out of Beirut after the massacre of more than 200 marines in 1983.
That he did not immediately cave to the pressure like he did in December is noteworthy.
I have given Donald Trump no end of grief over his lack of moral courage on this very issue, but now that he has been unleashed by the move to impeach him, he has little left to lose.
It proves that changing personnel can change policy. John Bolton is out and he is running his mouth about how terrible President Trump is trying to become the Hero of the Resistance in the process.
He and former President Trump adviser on Russia, Fiona Hill, dominated the news cycle in the wake of the Kurds making a deal with Syria and Russia, to paint Donald Trump with the Nixon brush of spying on his political enemies.
Meanwhile, his replacement Robert O Brien is gutting the National Security bureaucracy, reportedly cutting the staff in half.
Good. That is more than a hundred people no longer employed to feed the president false information to suit an agenda that contravenes United States security.
These moves by President Trump have upset the status quo in a fundamental way.
It has blown up the narrative that we were in Syria to defeat ISIS. That was the cover story. And President Trump has neatly called it out for exactly that.
The real story is that partitioning Syria has been the long-held goal of Israel, the neoconservatives, PNAC and so many others.
And that goal is now looking to be out of reach lest they can convict President Trump for doing his job for the first time since he became President.
With the rapid changes happening across the region and the collapse of so many narratives concurrently, President Trump is in an excellent position to make good on many of his long-delayed promises.
What is also clear is that Mr. Putin has played everyone in the region perfectly, balancing his relationships with Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Israel so that once Donald Trump made his move to pull back the curtain in Syria, they would all turn to him to broker their terms.
What is also clear is that any move he makes now will be interpreted through the impeachment lens as proof he is trying to save himself or that he really is a Putin puppet or whatever random anti-Trump thought flits through the tiny openings in the minds of his opponents.
President Trump has stepped on sacred ground here, United States interventionist foreign policy. And, right now, only he has the platform and the ability to separate fact from fiction about its efficacy and who it really serves.
Because it does not serve the United States of American people, nor does it serve the people our continued presence is supposed to protect.
President Trump will not come out and say that he has turned his back on Israels goals in the Middle East.
But with his Deal of the Century dead, its proponents on their last legs politically (Netanyahu and Kushner) it seems likely that he is cutting bait and changing course.
And even if he does not survive this politically, the vacuum he is creating right now is big enough that it will not matter.
With Mr. Putin signing major deals with Saudi Arabia and the UAE, China welcoming Iraq into the Belt and Road family and Turkey all but leaving NATO, what are a bunch of feckless and politically spent neocons going to do?
Not much from where I am sitting.
Reprinted here from the "Strategic Culture Foundation" provides a platform for exclusive analysis, research and policy comment on Eurasian and global affairs. We are covering political, economic, social and security issues worldwide. Since 2005 our journal has published thousands of analytical briefs and commentaries with the unique perspective of independent contributors. SCF works to broaden and diversify expert discussion by focusing on hidden aspects of international politics and unconventional thinking. Benefiting from the expanding power of the Internet, we work to spread reliable information, critical thought and progressive ideas.