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I Was Right: There Was No Mutiny by Paul Craig Roberts!
(2023-07-02 at 16:26:19 )
I Was Right: There Was No Mutiny by Paul Craig Roberts!
Based on information shared with me by Russian journalists who also have been trying to figure out the mischaracterization of Prigozhins protest as an "armed uprising," which they know to be absolute nonsense, I can add to the truthful account I have provided.
As is apparent, the alleged "armed uprising" has not resulted in any punishment of the alleged insurgents. Instead it seems to be a cover for President Putin to shift the Wagner Group and its leader to Belarus where installations are being built to accommodate Russias best fighting force.
Russian journalists are being reminded that the Wagner Group was originally created as a force for Russia to use abroad for which the Kremlin could claim a lack of connection. For example, should President Putin decide to eliminate the United States presence in Syria, where the Americans are stealing Syrias oil, President Putin could turn the task over to Wagner and say that they were mercenaries hired from another country by President Assad of Syria.
My informants say that Russias destruction of Ukraines military capability means the Wagner troops are no longer needed in Ukraine and less capable Russian Army troops can take their place.
Some of my informants are suspicious of the account they have been given of the purpose of relocating the Wagner Group in Belarus, which is the Wagner fighters are to be redeployed to Africa to protect Russian-friendly African governments from United States of American color revolutions.
They point out that for all practical purposes agreements between Belarus and Russia have united the two countries, and they operate under the same military command structure. Placing Prigozhins troops in Belarus shortens the distance to Kiev, making President Zelenskys capital easy to seize. Also the Wagner troops could be used to seal the Polish border with Ukraine or the Western border of Ukraine.
In other words, if President Putin finds Russian nationalist pressures to end the conflict victoriously too firm to continue ignoring, he has put in place forces to do the job.
Russian journalists tell me that another possible use of the "mutiny" is to quieten President Putins Russian nationalists critics. As far as I can tell, no one inside or outside Russia, except President Putin, knows why he has tolerated a never-ending conflict that ever-widens and becomes more dangerous.
Some of my informants say that President Putin believes the West cannot stand the continuation of a conflict in which their weapons and money has meant no difference to the outcome and when the Western countries are all suffering economic dislocations from the United States of American sanctions.
They say President Putin believes that Washington,D.C. has destroyed its power by undermining the dollars role as reserve currency. Consequently, President Putin, who does not want to be known as an invader or a conquerer putting the Russian Empire back together, is content to butt-sit and wait on the collapse of the West.
My response is that this is an astute position!!
However, it overlooks how the United States of American neoconservatives interpret it.
They see President Putins butt-sitting as inability to win, as weakness and a lack of confidence, and this emboldens them to press President Putin with more provocations. The danger as I see it is that at some point, possibly very soon, the provocations will ignite nuclear war.
I stick to my point of the past 18 months that to reduce the likelihood of nuclear war, President Putin must quickly bring the Ukraine conflict to an end in Russias favor. Then turn his back on the West and get on, together with China, India, and Iran, building bridges with the nonwestern world.
To be clear, my informants are the Russian journalists who have been interviewing me for many years. I and they take no side in the conflict. As I answer them honestly, I have said that I expect my questions to be honestly answered. I do not think that they know with any more certainty than I do what is the actual situation. But I have got to know them, and I do believe that they share with me their own beliefs based on what they are able to find out.
What is so remarkable is the difficulty of figuring out what is going on and where it is likely to end.
Truth, blocked here, suppressed there, denounced in the West as "racist" and "a tool of white supremacy" is very difficult to ascertain!!
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